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James Schumaker's avatar

I first met Sergey Lavrov in 1990, when he was the head of the MFA's Office for International Organizations and I headed the Political/External section at Embassy Moscow. At that time, US-Soviet relations were friendly and getting friendlier. Accordingly, Lavrov was charming, well-informed, and helpful. I had gone over to MFA with a pro forma list of questions relating to the UN General Assembly, and I was struck by how affable Lavrov was. He had good reason to be: in fact, we had just achieved a major breakthrough in the relationship, when in August, 1990, the USSR and USA aligned themselves against Saddam Hussein and his invasion of Kuwait. Lavrov was in sync with the times.

Unfortunately, and despite the disintegration of the Soviet Union the following year and the formation of a democratic Russia, this cordiality was not to last. It was rarely present in our meetings with the security services, and grew steadily cooler with our more familiar MFA contacts. I think the October 1993 storming of the Russian White House was a turning point for many Russian officials, and I noticed a distinct coolness from many MFA types who had once been quite friendly. The advent of Putin in 2000 and the establishment of the KGB state accelerated this trend.

Despite his remarkably successful career, Lavrov has never been a Putin insider. He has been an expert implementer of decisions. These days, if Putin is hostile to the US, there is a contest among those who have no real power to outdo themselves in their anti-Americanism. Lavrov is one of those people. He adopts outrageous positions, but with a touch that is more sophisticated than many of Putin's other implementers.

Lavrov has been trapped in this position for so long, that I am sure it is second nature to him now. He has learned to enjoy it.

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Barry Jacobs's avatar

Perhaps he just doesn't fancy a short fall down a long elevator shaft. As you say, Putin's regime ignores most civilized norms. Mr. Lavrov (and his family) are undoubtedly at risk should he step out of line. The question that should be on everyone's mind (as it is surely on Putin's) is who among his inner circle has the opportunity to rid the world of him and when they will decide that the perils of doing so are less than those of not doing so. Such has been the calculus around tyrants since the Caesars and before. Let us hope the world survives to see its conclusion.

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