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James Schumaker's avatar

It's possible that Putin may have been snubbing Xi by going back on the words in the joint statement. It's equally possible, however, that that Putin may not have even considered his actions as being related to Xi at all. For him, treaties are just words on paper, and vague communiques like the one coming out of the Putin-Xi meeting are even less significant. It is more important for Putin to subjugate Belarus, and one way to do that is by treating it as a constituent part of Russia.

Putin used the excuse that Britain's supply of depleted uranium ammunition to Ukraine required an answer, but that idiotic propaganda point is laughable on its face.

If Putin is taking a swipe at Xi, there is one possible explanation: he's tired of all the jibes that he is now just China's vassal. It hurts even more because it is largely true. China is moving steadily to increase its economic role in Russia. China is also increasing its political and economic influence in the former Soviet states of Central Asia, something that can't be good news for Putin. During the Putin-Xi meeting, for example, China announced a May summit with Central Asian countries. There was, it seems, no invitation for Russia, which considers Central Asia its back yard. If it does turn out that Russia is on the outside looking in while China deals with its former satraps, that indeed will be galling. https://www.businessinsider.com/xi-snubs-putin-amid-summit-with-central-asia-power-play-2023-3

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Michael McFaul's avatar

good points

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Laura's avatar

Glad you covered this, thanks. Putin seems to thrive on snubbing everyone, regardless of how important they are.

But now we have to ask, will Xi do anything in response and how does this actually hurt him? He'll still buy energy because it's a bargain. It will be interesting to see what happens next with this giant, intimidating axis of Russia/China.

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Michael McFaul's avatar

lets see

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Michael Wild's avatar

I'm of the opinion that the practical effect of moving some tactical nukes to Belarus has no practical effect but putting Belarus on a target list. But nevertheless symbols matter and this seems like a one fingered salute to Xi. It will be no easy matter to peel Xi off from Putin but Prol McFaul is right. The US should definitely give it a try.

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Rafael Huacuja's avatar

As you mentioned one of Putin’s last cards are the nukes. Please correct me if I’m wrong. If Ukraine is nuked from Russia, the blame and consequences exclusively fall on Russia, but if it’s nuked from Bielorussia the crime and the consequences are shared by both and dilute.

Putin throws the “stone” from his friends house, and now the West has to deal with both, which complicates things but in Putins’ favor. Right or not?

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S. A. Roman's avatar

You know what? Let’s move on. Neither Russia, China, nor Belarus gives a damn about what they ignored, or said, or were supposed to be thinking according to western minds. It’s all propaganda to them.

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